Sunday, September 1, 2013

Intra day trading by using pivot points

Using pivot points as a trading strategy has been around for a long time and was originally used by floor traders. This was a nice simple way for floor traders to have some idea of where the market was heading during the course of the day with only a few simple calculations.

The pivot point is the level at which the market direction changes for the day. Using some simple arithmetic and the previous days high, low and close, a series of points are derived. These points can be critical support and resistance levels. The pivot level, support and resistance levels calculated from that are collectively known as pivot levels.

Every day the market you are following has an open, high, low and a close for the day. This information basically contains all the data you need to use pivot points.The reason pivot points are so popular is that they are predictive as opposed to lagging.

Because so many traders follow pivot points you will often find that the market reacts at these levels. This give you an opportunity to trade.

If the market opens above the pivot point then the bias for the day is long trades. If the market opens below the pivot point then the bias for the day is for short trades.

The three most important pivot points are R1, S1 and the actual pivot point.

The general idea behind trading pivot points are to look for a reversal or break of R1 or S1. By the time the market reaches R2,R3 or S2,S3 the market will already be overbought or oversold and these levels should be used for exits rather than entries.

A perfect set would be for the market to open above the pivot level and then stall slightly at R1 then go on to R2. You would enter on a break of R1 with a target of R2 and if the market was really strong close half at R2 and target R3 with the remainder of your position.

If, after starting the day above the Pivot, the Price crosses back through the Pivot, the Pivot will act as a Resistance area. Pivot Points and Support and Resistance levels behave exactly like any historical Support and Resistance level.

Unfortunately life is not that simple and we have to deal with each trading day the best way we can.Combine these with simple channeling, retracement levels, past critical supports & resistances, SAR will enhance the success rate.
Pivot Points - Trading Methodology:
To make the discussion a bit less abstract, let's take a most superficial look at some simple trading methodology employing Pivot Points.
Step 1
"In general, if the day's Price Action starts above the Pivot, it will tend to stay above the Pivot.
This simple observation provides the basic rules for two of the simplest Pivot trading systems.
System 1:
Open is above Pivot: Buy
Open is below Pivot: Sell
System 2:
Place Buy and Sell stops bracketing the Pivot. Whichever is not filled acts as safety stop for the other.
These "systems" are very much too raw for my tastes. Too much chance of getting whipsawed. Let's take it one step deeper. Let's refine these simple systems just a bit more:
Step 2
First Fundamental Of Pivot Trading After the opening range (first 15-30 min. to one hour), if price is above/below the Pivot, Price Action will strongly tend to remain above/below the Pivot for the session.
Although this rule bids us to wait out the Opening Range and thus avoid much of the wildness and whipsawing, overlooking the next Fundamental Of Pivot Trading could be disastrous:
Step 3
If the market opens, or later trades at the extremes (R2, R3 or S2, S3), it will exhibit a tendency to trade back toward the Pivot. Thus, the general rule, 'Avoid buying the High or selling the Low', becomes increasingly more stringent as price moves farther from the Pivot.

Tuesday, May 7, 2013

Google Nexus 7 Vs iPad mini Vs Galaxy Tab 2 3100


FeaturesGoogle Nexus 7Apple iPad miniSamsung Galaxy Tab 2 (P3100) Verdict
Processor1.3 GHz Nvidia Tegra 3 quad-core CPU, which includes a 12-core Graphics Processing Unit (GPU)
Dual-core A5 processor clocked at 1 GHZ
P3100 utilises OMAP 4430 dual core processor running at 1 GHz, which is aided by a PowerVR SGX540 graphics processor.The Nexus 7 processor looks far ahead of its competitors and may provide an altogether different level of gaming experience.
Screen size & resolution
1280×800 HD display which comes to 216 pixels per inch (ppi)
1024×768 pixels making it around 163 ppi for a 7.9 inch screen.
1,024×600 pixel resolution which gives 170 ppiAt 216 pixels per inch, the Nexus 7 leaves rivals way behind when it comes to screen quality.  
Weight340 grams308 grams345 gramsApple’s iPad mini clearly is the lightest tablet among the three. Besides, the build quality and aesthetics of Apple products command respect and admiration across the world.
MemoryThe Google Nexus 7 has 16 GB internal storage of which only 13-14 GB will be available to users.The iPad mini starts at Rs 21,900 for a 16 GB WiFi only version.The Samsung tablet comes with 16 GB internal storage along with a micro SD card slot for storage expandable up to 32 GB.The Samsung has natural advantage as it offers 16 GB internal storage along with micro SD card slots for expanding memory space. While iPad mini scores over the Nexus for providing cellular connectivity and enhanced internal storage on certain versions, it loses the plot with increasing price vis-a-vis Samsung.
CameraThe Nexus 7 has a 1.2-megapixel front camera. No rear camera.
The iPad mini comes with a 5 megapixel rear camera and a 1.2 megapixel front FaceTime Camera.
The P3100 comes with a 3 megapixel camera in the rear and a VGA (0.3 megapixel) camera in the front.
If a camera is a must have in your 7-inch tablet, then the Nexus 7 turns out to be a big disappointment. On the other hand, iPad mini scores with high-quality camera on both front and rear, which is a big plus in a 7-inch tablet.
Operating SystemThe Google Nexus 7 comes with the latest Android 4.2 Jelly Bean version.The iPad mini ships with Apple’s iOS 6.Samsung has just started pushing Android 4.1 Jelly Bean update
If you are a Google/Android junkie, the Nexus 7 tablet will end up being your choice. Unlike other altered versions of the OS this one is pure Google.
BatteryThe Nexus 7 has a 4325 mAh battery which is expected to offer 8-9 hours of power on active usage.
The iPad mini offers up to 10 hours battery life on just Wi-Fi and up to 9 hours on cellular data.
The Samsung Galaxy Tab 2 (P3100)’s 4000 mAh battery can last more than a day with normal usage.No clear winner, but it is yet to be ascertained whether Nexus 7 can live up to its claim during active game usage.

Thursday, February 28, 2013

Indian Budget 2013: Highlights


Budget 2013: Highlights

Fiscal deficit:

> Fiscal deficit seen at 5.2 pct of GDP in 2012/13.

> Fiscal deficit seen at 4.8 pct of GDP in 2013/14.

> Faced with huge fiscal deficit, India had no choice but to rationalise expenditure.

Growth:

> Indian economy faces challenge of getting back to its potential growth rate of 8%. India must unhesitatingly embrace growth as highest goal.

Spending:

Total budget expenditure seen at 16.65 trillion rupees in 2013/14.

India's 2013/14 plan expenditure seen at 5.55 trillion rupees.

Non-plan expenditure estimated at about 12 trillion rupees in 2013/14.

Revised estimate for total expenditure is 14.3 trillion rupees in 2012/13, which is 96 pct of budget estimate.

Set aside 100 billion rupees towards spending on food subsidies in 2013/14.

Revenue

> Expect 133 billion rupees through direct tax proposals in 2013/14.

> Expect 47 billion rupees through indirect tax proposals in 2013/14.

Current account deficit

> India's greater worry is the current account deficit - will need more than $75 billion this year and next year to fund deficit.

Inflation

> Food inflation is worrying, will take all steps to augment supply side.

Tax

> Proposes surcharge of 10 pct on rich taxpayers with annual income of more than 10 million rupees a year.

> To increase surcharge to 10 pct on domestic companies with annual income of more than 100 million rupees.

> To continue 15 pct tax concession on dividend received by India companies from foreign units for one more year.

> Propose to impose withholding tax of 20 pct on profit distribution to shareholders.

> Amnesty on service tax non-compliance from 2007 * 10 bln rupees for first installment of balance of GST (Goods and Services Tax) payment.

> Propose to reduce securities transaction tax on equity futures to 0.01 pct from 0.017 pct.

> Time to introduce commodities transaction tax (CTT) * CTT on non-agriculture futures contracts at 0.01 pct.

Corporate sector and markets

> Plans to issue inflation-indexed bonds.

> Proposes capital allowance of 15 pct to companies on investments of more than 1 billion rupees.

> Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) can use investments in corporate, government bonds as collateral to meet margin requirements.

> Insurance, provident funds can trade directly in debt segments of stock exchanges.

> FIIs can hedge forex exposure through exchange-traded derivatives



Monday, February 18, 2013

Top 10 Expensive Stocks in the World




Enjoy the rush of investing in stocks and following the ups and downs of markets? Well, here are some sought-after stocks that would add to the thrill. There's just one catch: These are extremely expensive stocks.
Let's take a look at some of the most expensive stocks in the world.


Berkshire Hathaway
Industry: Conglomerate
Stock price: $145,505 per share
Global rank: 1
Seaboard Corporation
Industry: Agriculture and ocean transport business
Stock price: $2,639.72 per share
Global rank: 2

NVR Incorporated
Industry: Real estate
Stock price: $1,040.86 per share
Global rank: 3
Google, Incorporated
Industry: Internet
Stock price: $753.83 per share
Global rank: 4
Priceline.com Incorporated
Industry: Travel
Stock price: $695.09 per share
Global rank: 5


Intuitive Surgical Incorporated
Industry: Robotic surgical systems
Stock price: $573.00 per share
Global rank: 6
MasterCard Incorporated
Industry: Banking
Stock price: $516.00 per share
Global rank: 7
Markel Corporation
Industry: Insurance
Stock price: $470.46 per share
Global rank: 8
Apple, Incorporated
Industry: Technology
Stock price: $456.83 per share
Global rank: 9
Biglari Holdings, Incorporated
Industry: Restaurants
Stock price: $369.42 per share
Global rank: 10










Friday, February 15, 2013

Benefits of Currency Derivative Trading


BENEFITS
  • Low Commissions – Brokerage fees are very low as the market is highly competitive.
  • No Middlemen – Standardized lot size – Futures/Options currency trading does away with the middlemen and allows clients to interact directly on the exchange platform.
  • Standardized Lot Size – Low transaction cost – In the futures markets, lot or contract sizes are determined by the exchanges which are fixed in nature. This allows traders to trade multiple lots.
  • Low Transaction Cost – The retail transaction cost (the bid/ask spread) is typically less than 0.1 percent under normal market conditions. In large deals, the spread could be as low as 0.07 percent.
  • High Liquidity – With an average trading volume of over $4 trillion per day, FOREX is the most liquid market in the world. It means that a trader can enter or exit the market at will in almost any market condition.
  • Almost Instantaneous Transactions – This is a very advantageous by–product of high liquidity.
  • Low Margin (3 – 5 percent), High Leverage – These factors increase the potential for higher profits (and losses).
  • Online Access – The big boom in FOREX came with the advent of online (Internet) trading platforms.
  • Interbank Market – The backbone of the FOREX market consists of a global network of dealers. They are mainly major commercial banks that communicate and trade with one another and with their clients through electronic networks and by telephone. There are no organized exchanges to serve as a central location to facilitate transactions the way the New York Stock Exchange serves the equity markets. The FOREX market operates in a manner similar to that of the NASDAQ market in the United States; thus it is also referred to as an over-the counter (OTC) market.
  • No one can corner the market – The FOREX market is so vast and has so many participants that no single entity, not even a central bank, can control the market price for an extended period of time. Even interventions by mighty central banks are becoming increasingly ineffectual and short-lived. Thus central banks are becoming less and less inclined to intervene to manipulate market prices.
  • No Insider Trading – Because of the FOREX market's size and non-centralized nature, there is virtually no chance for ill effects caused by insider trading. Fraud possibilities, at least against the system as a whole, are significantly less than in any other financial instruments.
  • Limited Regulation – There is but limited governmental influence via regulation in the FOREX markets, primarily because there is no centralized location or exchange. Nevertheless, most countries do have some regulatory say and more seems on the way. Regardless, fraud is always fraud wherever it is found and subject to criminal penalties in all countries.

major Fundamental factors that affect currency movements


  • Trade Balance – This refers to imports and exports, and is probably the most important determinant of a currency's value. When imports are greater than exports, you have a trade deficit. When exports are greater than imports, you have a surplus. A shift in the trade balance between two countries tends to weaken the currency of the country with greater deficit
  • Wealth – Wealth is a country's reserves, in the form of gold, cash, natural resources, and so on. Basically any factor that affects a country's ability to repay loans, finance imports, and affect investments impacts the market's perception of its currency and the currency's value.
  • Internal budget deficit or surplus – A country running a current account deficit has, on balance, a weaker currency than one that runs a budget surplus. This is tricky, however, in that the direction of the surplus or deficit affects perceptions and currency valuations too.
  • Interest Rates – Funds move around the world electronically in response to changes in short-term interest rates. If three-month interest rates in Germany are running 1% less than three-month rates in the United States, then all other things being equal, "hot money" flows out of Euro into the Dollar.
  • Inflation – Inflation in each country, and inflationary expectations, affect currency values. What good is a 10% short-term return in some country if inflation is running 15%?
  • Political factors – Taxes, stability, whatever affects the international trade of a country, or the perception of "soundness" of the currency affect its valuation.

How to Multiply Your Money with Nifty Options Trading Strategy

Nifty options buying has limited risk but unlimited profit potential, I am going to teach you a trading strategy that can easily multiply your trading capital (money). Before starting with this strategy you need to keep at least Rs. 1,00,000 in your trading account, so that you don’t have to risk much of your trading capital. Now here first thing to do is start looking at Nifty futures chart i.e. daily chart, in that chart just see in which direction the market is moving (up or down), If market is trading sideways then there is no trade. Let us see when market is up (forming higher tops and higher bottoms), We will wait for a decent pullback of about 50 to 80 point to participate in that up move. Whenever that pullback happens, you will need to buy Nifty Call Option, now I am tell how to choose correct strike price for nifty options, just look at this example: If nifty spot is 5400 then buy nifty 5500call options i.e. out of money options. Set target as double of your buy price, stop loss half of your buy price. This was all about buying, now let’s see how much quantities to buy; you will use 40% of your trading capital for buying this nifty option. So if you have Rs.1,00,000 in your trading account then you will buy nifty options worth Rs.40,000/- Before trading with options remember trading options always involves high degree of risk, moreover it’s your hard earned money invest it wisely.